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wetter than normal conditions in parts of Australia and Asia, and drier than normal conditions in East Africa. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Global: July to April Overview 6 Current Status Current Status maps MENA – Middle East

), with a potential transition during the spring 2021 (~50% chance of Neutral during April-June).” For the next three months, large parts of southern Asia, Australasia, Central America, northern parts of South America, along with southern parts of the Caribbean are likely to be wetter than normal

El Niño fully develop, then the chance of heatwaves, drought and wildfire increases across parts of southern and southeast Asia and Australia, and wetter than normal conditions may be experienced across parts of East Africa, central Asia and the Middle East. Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) – The Indian

develop, then the chance of heatwaves, drought and wildfire increases across parts of southern and southeast Asia and Australia, and wetter than normal conditions may be experienced across parts of East Africa, central Asia and the Middle East. Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) – The Indian Ocean Dipole

precipitation. Precipitation is spatially averaged over South Asia and each of the country-specific domains in the plot titles. The black line represents the line of best fit between the 12 points. Figure A17-ii - As caption for Figure 17-iError! Reference source not found., but for the OND season.

and Southeast Asia. This is consistent with the warming observed in the past decade. Below normal temperatures are likely for southern Australia, parts of mainland Southeast Asia and parts of Peru and Ecuador. 3-Month Outlook October to December - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very

three months, large parts of southern Asia, Australasia, Central America, northern parts of South America, along with southern parts of the Caribbean are likely to be wetter than normal. Meanwhile, large swathes of Africa and the Middle East are likely to be drier than normal. Below Normal Near

northward shift of rains will see the onset of the South Asian Monsoon (SAM). Wetter than normal conditions for much of the Indian subcontinent, Sri Lanka, as well as parts of southeast Asia are likely over the next three months. This may reflect either an early onset of the SAM, or a more intense

, northern Asia and South-East North America, and lower than normal in North Africa, North-East Canada and southern Greenland. The patterns for precipitation (rainfall, snowfall) are more localised, with an increased chance of higher rainfall in northwest Europe and lower rainfall in southern Europe

Territories. It is likely to be wetter than normal in Guyana. Tropical Cyclone outlook: The Atlantic Tropical Cyclone season is now near its peak with seven named storms (up to 22 nd Sept). September typically sees peak activity with the season continuing through October and November before ending