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• Awakening Atlantic heralds autumn’s arrival

  , marking a return to more traditional autumnal weather. This rainfall – associated with the remnants ex-Hurricane Lee – will be heaviest and most persistent across parts of Wales and northwest England. Some surface-water and river flooding is possible in these areas, with a Yellow weather warning in force

• Dr Malcolm Roberts

  , and how these might be represented in lower resolution models. He now leads the High Resolution Global Climate Modelling group, which studies the effects of model resolution in the coupled atmosphere/ocean/sea-ice system. External recognition Co-lead of CMIP6 HighResMIP protocol Member of the US CLIVAR Hurricane Working Group Coordinator of the Horizon 2020 PRIMAVERA project

• PowerPoint Presentation

  tropical storm seasonal in 2023 - 19 named storms predicted (1991-2020 long-term average – 14), 9 hurricanes (long-term average – 7) and 6 major hurricanes (long-term average – 3). The full forecast can be found here.​ To date this season has had 19 named storms, of which 7 were hurricanes. Of these 7

• PowerPoint Presentation

  active than usual North Atlantic tropical storm seasonal in 2023 - 19 named storms predicted (1991-2020 long-term average – 14), 9 hurricanes (long-term average – 7) and 6 major hurricanes (long-term average – 3). The full forecast can be found here. To date this season has had 19 named storms

• State of the Global Climate: 2017

  a feature of our climate, and 2017 also experienced some notable events. In 2017 extreme rainfall in Venezuela triggered the most devastating floods in over a decade, whilst Hurricane Harvey set new rainfall records in Texas. In contrast, extreme drought affected at least 3% of global land area each month, a figure matched only in 1984, 1985, and 2016.”

• A wet and windy start to October

  waters they will lose this source of energy and weaken rapidly as a result. The waters in our latitudes of the North Atlantic are far too cool to sustain an actual hurricane. Steve Ramsdale, Chief Operational Meteorologist explains: “The remnants of tropical systems are likely to impact our weather

• High pressure gives way to unsettled weather

  rain will be accompanied by hail, thunderstorms and gusty winds, leading to flooding and difficult driving conditions.”  Tuesday’s low-pressure system contains the remnants of Hurricane Humberto, bringing with it warm and humid air.  This system will clear eastwards later on Tuesday, however low

• 2016: indicators of a changing climate

  of intensity, longevity, damage and fatalities was Hurricane Matthew. Here it is captured passing over the eastern tip of Cuba. The Met Office’s Dr Robert Dunn has co-edited the global climate chapter of the report. He added: “Added to climate change, the planet also experiences natural variation within

• Global extreme events - Tropical storms

  they’re due to climate change and what we can expect in the future. Are tropical storms i.e. hurricanes, typhoons increasing in frequency or intensity? The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report concluded that confidence remains low for detecting any long-term changes in tropical cyclone activity. However

• Observed and forecast tracks: northern hemisphere 2023

  pressure, 1-minute MSW Comments on Met Office global model forecasts Adrian (01E) 27 June - 02 July 970 mb, 90 knots Track forecast errors were above the recent mean for this hurricane. Beatriz (02E) 29 June - 01 July 991 mb, 75 knots Track forecast errors were a little higher than the recent mean