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• Relative operating characteristic (ROC)

  yellow, orange and red respectively - and indicate regions with relatively good seasonal prediction skill. Regions with ROC score between 0.6 and 0.7 show skill at lower levels but still better than guessing or use of climatology. Grey or light blue shading is used when scores are below 0.6 (i.e. near or below to the 0.5 'no-skill' threshold, suggesting forecasts in these regions are currently little better than guesswork).

• Volcanic activity in Iceland

  volcano will erupt in Iceland? The eruptions of Eyjafjallajökull and Grímsvötn in 2010 and 2011 respectively, are unlikely to be considered out of the ordinary in light of the historical record. It could be argued that up until recently, we have been fortunate: for example during the Grímsvötn

• Met Office daily weather: Warm and humid with temperatures on the rise

  into the northwest later in the day. Further southeast, it will be a drier day overall, with sunny spells developing after a cloudy start. Winds will be mostly light in the south, but moderate to strong further north, with the potential for coastal gales in the far northwest. Temperatures will remain warm overnight

• Met Office daily weather: Weather warnings issued as Storm Claudia set to impact parts of the UK

  for Saturday Saturday sees a pronounced north-south split. England, Wales, and possibly Northern Ireland will be overcast, wet, and dull, with heavier overnight rain easing but light rain and drizzle persisting. Early morning fog is likely in the far south, slowly lifting as winds pick up. There is a small

• Heavy rain triggers Amber warnings – October 2020

  Office, said: “Storm Alex has clipped the southern edge of Britain today bringing heavy rain and strong winds to the country. The highest gust of 71 mph was at Berry Head on the Devon coast, but winds are now easing for most. Away from the south it is a more pleasant day, with light winds and bright

• Met Office weekend weather: Will the dry weather continue, or is a change on the horizon?

  . Elsewhere, the majority will remain dry, though one or two light showers are possible, particularly over eastern England. The increased breeze may actually help to brighten things up in some areas, breaking up the cloud and allowing for occasional sunny spells. Temperatures and how it will feel

• What is the weather forecast over Christmas?

  the influence of high pressure. The exception however may be northwest Scotland where there is a reasonable chance of further wind and rain. “Christmas Day itself is likely to be settled, often cloudy, and dry with light winds for the majority. Once again, the far north may be windier, with a small chance

• Met Office daily weather: The weekend brings a shift in conditions

  for Saturday. READ MORE: 'Brutal' cold snap? 'Barrage of snow'? Met Office weather headline review “Generally, a fine day really for this time in October, but the cloud is starting to thicken further west and there could be a few light showers getting into maybe Devon and Cornwall and Northern Ireland

• Met Office daily weather: A showery start but growing brighter later on

  be locally heavy with cumulonimbus cloud and thunderstorm activity. More organised rain or showers are likely to affect the far southwest later in the day. Winds will be light inland during the morning but will strengthen to moderate or fresh levels later, becoming strong along some coastal areas

• Warming up this week

  The start of the week will be fine and dry with sunny spells for many in England and Wales. However, a series of weak fronts will push into Scotland and Northern Ireland bringing cloudier weather here with a chance of some light rain, especially across the northwest.   It could be the hottest spell