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.   Career background Since joining the Met Office in 1997 Doug has developed the Met Office Decadal Climate Prediction System: DePreSys, leading the decadal prediction team since 2008. Before that, Doug worked on satellite remote sensing of sea ice and rainfall at University College London

°C. Friday will be a day of sunshine and showers, which could be heavy and slow moving at times. The showers will affect all parts of the UK, including London, with some more persistent rain along the northeast coast of England. Highs of 19°C are once again possible in the south of England. Weather

sunny spells in the south it could reach 20°C. Friday will be a day of sunshine and showers, which could be heavy and slow moving at times with some thunder, lightning and hail. The showers will affect most parts of the UK, including London, with some more persistent rain affecting parts of eastern

Heathrow in London was during the previous climate averaging period 1961-1990. So average temperatures previously limited to London and parts of the far south of England are now experienced as much as 250 km (155 miles) further north. “Examining the pattern of climate change across the UK reveals

to the nearest C for the medium emission scenario RCP4.5 1950 2020 2050 2100 London 35 C 36 C 37 C 39 C Cardiff 33 C 34 C 35 C 37 C Edinburgh 29 C 30 C 31 C 33 C Belfast 27 C 28 C 29 C 31 C One-day rainfall Table 2: The table shows the most likely one-day rainfall total in winter (Dec Jan Feb) for a one-in-fifty

Mean change in the variable e.g. temperature RANGE CITY OF LONDON CLIMATE CHANGE UKCP Results UKCP Headlines for the UK Although the trend is for drier summers in the future, the latest UKCP data suggests possible increases in the intensity of heavy summer rainfall events. Sea levels will continue

0.25 degree WAFS Hazard Data How to use the new data being introduced in Nov 2020 Prepared by WAFC London • The World Area Forecast System (WAFS) provides global gridded model forecasts of wind, temperature, relative humidity, turbulence, icing and cumulonimbus cloud. • In November 2020

new flood defences to improve the nation’s resilience.” This independent economic analysis carried out by London Economics, forms part of the government’s drive to ensure that the services it funds provide value for money for the taxpayer and are continuously improving the delivery of vital services

different NIHR HPRU’s Who we are... London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM) - Lead Academic Institution (Dr Sari Kovats – Lead) Public Health England (PHE) University Exeter (UoE) UK Met Office University College London (UCL) Public Health and Land Cover in the UK Workshop at the Met

for London 50 year return levels in the 21 st century under RCP4.5 - a medium emission scenario with moderate mitigation. 42.8 °C 38.5 °C By 2090, a once in 50 year temperature event in London is more likely than not to exceed 38 °C if moderate mitigation measures are applied to reduce total emissions 36