2026 outlook: likely another year above 1.4°C
The Met Office outlook for the global average temperature in 2026 suggests an extension of the run of years with a value above 1.4°C, compared to pre-industria…
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| England | Environment Agency |
|---|---|
| Wales | Natural Resources Wales |
Wind and rain clearing northeast tonight. A brighter day Friday.
Rain clearing northeast through the evening. Clear spells and scattered showers following, these most frequent in the north and west. A colder night to come but generally remaining frost free with winds remaining brisk, especially in the north.
Sunny spells and scattered showers, driest in the south and east. Showers most frequent in the north and west with thunder possible. Remaining windy for all with near average temperatures.
Rain edging in from the west on Saturday, drier in the east. Further spells of rain or showers through Sunday and Monday and rather cloudy throughout. Feeling chilly by Monday.
Updated:
A gradual transition to more settled conditions is expected, as high pressure builds to the north of the UK and low pressure eases away to the south. This will bring a strengthening easterly wind over the Christmas period, making it feel noticeably colder than of late. Whilst there will be a fair amount of dry weather, a few showers will still be possible, particularly across eastern and southern parts which may be wintry in places, more especially over high ground. Temperatures will likely trend below average with the potential for frost, especially in the north where winds will be lighter. Towards New Year, high pressure may become centred more towards the west of the UK, allowing a greater chance of some wet weather to spread into parts of the UK.
Updated:
High pressure will probably be close to the UK at the start of this period, perhaps most likely centred to the west, and whilst this may allow relatively settled and dry conditions with a risk of frost and fog initially, there will be the chance of some occasional wet weather at times, perhaps more especially in the north and east. Given some relatively cold air close to the UK, this may bring the chance of some wintry hazards in places. Towards mid-month, there is the potential for rather more changeable conditions to develop more widely, although confidence in this aspect of the forecast is currently low.
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