Weather and climate change

Headline:

Cloud and rain, heavy in places moving north.

This Evening and Tonight:

Showers in the north tending to fade as clear spells develop. Cloud and rain will continue to across much of England and Wales, but this becoming increasingly fragmented later.

Tuesday:

Rain across parts of England and Wales clearing east during the morning. Sunny spells and scattered showers follow for many, these heavy in places. Breezier in the south and east.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Largely dry on Wednesday, though outbreaks of rain and stronger winds moves into the west for Thursday and Friday. Drier and brighter in the south and east and turning warm.

Updated: 17:00 (UTC+1) on Mon 15 Jul 2024

Early in this period, low pressure is likely to exist to the northwest or north of the UK, allowing areas of cloud and rain to spread across the UK from the west, though some more settled interludes are also likely, especially in the southeast. Breezy at times, with temperatures mainly near or below normal. Remaining changeable thereafter as weather systems to move across the country from the west, with northern and western areas typically wettest and a greater chance of dry conditions prevailing in the southeast. There is, however, a smaller chance for either unsettled weather to be more widely prevalent, or for a more quiescent period to develop across the south. Overall, temperatures will likely be near normal, but may feel cool in the west at times.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Mon 15 Jul 2024

Through this period, there remains a slightly increased chance of more settled spells of weather developing at times, particularly in the south, and the likelihood of this has been gradually increasing over the past few days. However, there is still a substantial chance of other outcomes too, with more changeable periods also likely. Overall drier than average conditions are more likely than wetter than average, and warmer than average conditions are weakly favoured too.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Mon 15 Jul 2024