Warm for many with a change on the way
Warm and settled conditions will subside later this weekend, with thunderstorms likely for some from Sunday.
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England | Environment Agency |
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Warm, dry and sunny. A change from Sunday.
There will be plenty of evening sunshine on offer, then dry overnight to follow with prolonged clear spells. With light winds, there will be some mist and fog patches forming in places. Low cloud will edge onto some eastern/southeastern coasts.
A warm sunny day for many, though some patchy coastal mist is possible in places. A few heavy afternoon showers or thunderstorms developing across northern England and southern Scotland.
A warm and humid day on Sunday, with an increasing risk of thunderstorms. Turning cooler through Monday and Tuesday, with showers and longer spells of rain. Winds increasing too.
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Low pressure is expected to be dominant across the UK at the start of this period, bringing widely unsettled conditions. Most areas will be affected by showers, which could in a few places be heavy, slow-moving, with thunder and possibly hail, or even longer spells of rain at first. Winds will mostly be light, and temperatures around to a little above average for the time of year. Heading into next weekend and beyond confidence falls significantly, but on balance the weather is more likely to turn a little less unsettled, with a greater chance of longer drier interludes between further rain or showers. Temperatures overall most likely to be a little above average but the chances of any prolonged settled, dry or hot weather are lower than normal.
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Signals during this period are extremely weak, and for the most part indistinguishable from climatology. Similar weather conditions to those of the preceding few days are most likely to characterise this period to the end of May; a mixture of unsettled periods with rain and showers and settled interludes in-between. By early June, the chances of above and below average rainfall are evenly balanced. There is a slightly higher likelihood of above average temperatures compared with below average temperatures, such that the chance of hot spells, although still very small, is slightly higher than normal too.
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