New model to enhance extreme rainfall prediction
Scientists have developed new guidance and tools that could significantly improve the prediction of life-threatening flash flooding.
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24° 75° | |
11° 52° |
Beta • Let us know what you think
25° 77° | |
14° 57° |
Beta • Let us know what you think
29° 85° | |
13° 56° |
Beta • Let us know what you think
28° 82° | |
5° 40° |
Beta • Let us know what you think
25° 76° | |
8° 46° |
Beta • Let us know what you think
25° 77° | |
8° 47° |
Beta • Let us know what you think
26° 80° | |
7° 45° |
Beta • Let us know what you think
24° 75° | |
11° 52° |
Beta • Let us know what you think
25° 77° | |
14° 57° |
Beta • Let us know what you think
29° 85° | |
13° 56° |
Beta • Let us know what you think
28° 82° | |
5° 40° |
Beta • Let us know what you think
25° 76° | |
8° 46° |
Beta • Let us know what you think
25° 77° | |
8° 47° |
Beta • Let us know what you think
26° 80° | |
7° 45° |
Time |
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Weather symbols |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
Temperature (°C) |
21°
70°
|
22°
71°
|
22°
72°
|
22°
72°
|
22°
71°
|
21°
69°
|
19°
66°
|
18°
64°
|
16°
62°
|
16°
60°
|
Feels like temperature (°C) |
20°
67°
|
20°
68°
|
20°
68°
|
20°
68°
|
20°
68°
|
19°
67°
|
18°
64°
|
17°
62°
|
16°
60°
|
15°
59°
|
Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NE
7
11
6
3
2
|
NE
7
12
6
3
2
|
ENE
7
12
6
3
2
|
ENE
7
12
6
3
2
|
ENE
7
11
6
3
2
|
NE
7
11
6
3
2
|
ENE
7
11
6
3
2
|
E
7
11
6
3
2
|
E
7
11
6
3
2
|
ENE
6
10
5
3
2
|
Wind gust (mph) |
19
30
17
8
5
|
19
31
17
9
5
|
19
30
17
8
5
|
17
27
15
8
4
|
15
24
13
7
4
|
13
22
11
6
4
|
15
25
13
7
4
|
16
26
14
7
4
|
16
26
14
7
4
|
17
27
15
8
4
|
Visibility (description) |
VG
20
|
VG
21
|
VG
21
|
VG
21
|
VG
21
|
VG
20
|
G
19
|
G
19
|
G
19
|
G
18
|
Humidity |
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
40%
|
52%
|
58%
|
65%
|
74%
|
78%
|
UV |
5
|
4
|
2
|
1
|
1
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
02:00
|
03:00
|
04:00
|
05:00
|
06:00
|
07:00
|
08:00
|
09:00
|
10:00
|
11:00
|
12:00
|
13:00
|
14:00
|
15:00
|
16:00
|
17:00
|
18:00
|
19:00
|
20:00
|
21:00
|
22:00
|
23:00
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Weather symbols |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chance of precipitation |
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
<5%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
Temperature (°C) |
15°
59°
|
14°
58°
|
14°
57°
|
14°
56°
|
13°
56°
|
13°
56°
|
13°
56°
|
13°
56°
|
14°
58°
|
16°
60°
|
18°
64°
|
19°
66°
|
20°
68°
|
21°
70°
|
22°
71°
|
22°
71°
|
21°
70°
|
20°
69°
|
19°
67°
|
19°
66°
|
18°
64°
|
17°
63°
|
17°
62°
|
17°
62°
|
Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
58°
|
14°
56°
|
13°
55°
|
13°
55°
|
12°
54°
|
12°
54°
|
12°
54°
|
12°
54°
|
13°
55°
|
14°
57°
|
15°
59°
|
16°
60°
|
16°
62°
|
17°
63°
|
18°
64°
|
18°
64°
|
18°
64°
|
17°
63°
|
17°
62°
|
16°
62°
|
16°
61°
|
16°
60°
|
16°
60°
|
16°
60°
|
Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NE
6
10
5
3
2
|
NE
6
10
5
3
2
|
NE
6
10
5
3
2
|
NE
6
10
5
3
2
|
NE
7
11
6
3
2
|
NE
7
11
6
3
2
|
NE
7
12
6
3
2
|
NE
8
12
7
3
3
|
NE
9
15
8
4
3
|
NE
11
18
10
5
3
|
NE
13
21
11
6
4
|
ENE
15
24
13
7
4
|
ENE
15
25
13
7
4
|
ENE
15
25
13
7
4
|
ENE
15
25
13
7
4
|
ENE
15
25
13
7
4
|
ENE
15
25
13
7
4
|
ENE
15
24
13
7
4
|
ENE
14
22
12
6
4
|
ENE
12
20
10
6
3
|
ENE
11
17
10
5
3
|
ENE
9
15
8
4
3
|
ENE
9
14
8
4
3
|
NE
8
13
7
4
3
|
Wind gust (mph) |
17
28
15
8
4
|
17
28
15
8
4
|
18
29
16
8
4
|
18
29
16
8
4
|
19
30
17
8
5
|
19
31
17
9
5
|
20
32
17
9
5
|
22
35
19
10
5
|
24
39
21
11
5
|
28
45
24
12
6
|
30
49
26
14
6
|
31
50
27
14
6
|
32
52
28
14
7
|
31
50
27
14
6
|
31
50
27
14
6
|
31
50
27
14
6
|
30
49
26
14
6
|
30
48
26
13
6
|
27
44
23
12
6
|
24
38
21
11
5
|
23
37
20
10
5
|
23
37
20
10
5
|
22
36
19
10
5
|
21
34
18
9
5
|
Visibility (description) |
G
16
|
G
16
|
G
16
|
G
17
|
G
17
|
G
17
|
G
16
|
G
16
|
G
17
|
G
17
|
G
17
|
G
18
|
G
18
|
G
19
|
G
19
|
VG
20
|
VG
20
|
VG
21
|
VG
21
|
VG
21
|
VG
20
|
G
19
|
G
19
|
G
19
|
Humidity |
80%
|
81%
|
83%
|
83%
|
84%
|
85%
|
85%
|
85%
|
81%
|
76%
|
70%
|
66%
|
60%
|
55%
|
53%
|
54%
|
55%
|
61%
|
65%
|
68%
|
70%
|
73%
|
76%
|
78%
|
UV |
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
5
|
4
|
3
|
2
|
1
|
1
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Time |
00:00
|
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Weather symbols |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
40%
|
40%
|
30%
|
20%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
10%
|
Temperature (°C) |
16°
61°
|
16°
61°
|
16°
61°
|
16°
61°
|
19°
66°
|
22°
72°
|
24°
76°
|
22°
72°
|
19°
66°
|
Feels like temperature (°C) |
15°
60°
|
16°
60°
|
16°
61°
|
16°
61°
|
19°
66°
|
23°
73°
|
25°
76°
|
22°
72°
|
19°
67°
|
Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NE
7
12
6
3
2
|
NE
6
10
5
3
2
|
NE
6
10
5
3
2
|
NE
5
9
4
2
2
|
ENE
7
11
6
3
2
|
ESE
6
10
5
3
2
|
S
6
10
5
3
2
|
SSW
7
11
6
3
2
|
SW
5
8
4
2
2
|
Wind gust (mph) |
19
30
17
8
5
|
20
32
17
9
5
|
18
29
16
8
4
|
17
27
15
8
4
|
18
29
16
8
4
|
16
25
14
7
4
|
16
26
14
7
4
|
12
20
10
6
3
|
10
16
9
5
3
|
Visibility (description) |
VG
20
|
VG
20
|
G
17
|
G
13
|
G
15
|
G
19
|
VG
24
|
VG
20
|
G
14
|
Humidity |
81%
|
84%
|
93%
|
95%
|
88%
|
72%
|
62%
|
74%
|
88%
|
UV |
-
|
-
|
-
|
1
|
2
|
4
|
2
|
-
|
-
|
Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Weather symbols |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
10%
|
30%
|
30%
|
10%
|
10%
|
Temperature (°C) |
18°
64°
|
17°
62°
|
16°
62°
|
19°
66°
|
21°
70°
|
21°
70°
|
19°
67°
|
17°
62°
|
Feels like temperature (°C) |
18°
64°
|
17°
63°
|
17°
62°
|
19°
66°
|
21°
69°
|
20°
69°
|
19°
66°
|
16°
62°
|
Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SW
4
7
3
2
2
|
SW
4
7
3
2
2
|
SW
5
7
4
2
2
|
SW
6
10
5
3
2
|
SSW
8
13
7
4
3
|
SSW
9
14
8
4
3
|
SSW
8
13
7
4
3
|
SW
7
10
6
3
2
|
Wind gust (mph) |
10
17
9
5
3
|
12
19
10
5
3
|
13
22
11
6
4
|
17
28
15
8
4
|
21
33
18
9
5
|
21
34
18
9
5
|
17
28
15
8
4
|
15
25
13
7
4
|
Visibility (description) |
G
12
|
G
10
|
G
10
|
G
16
|
VG
23
|
VG
26
|
VG
27
|
VG
26
|
Humidity |
93%
|
95%
|
94%
|
80%
|
67%
|
72%
|
76%
|
85%
|
UV |
-
|
-
|
-
|
3
|
4
|
2
|
-
|
-
|
Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Weather symbols |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chance of precipitation |
10%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
Temperature (°C) |
16°
60°
|
15°
58°
|
14°
57°
|
17°
62°
|
19°
66°
|
19°
67°
|
18°
64°
|
15°
60°
|
Feels like temperature (°C) |
15°
60°
|
14°
57°
|
13°
55°
|
16°
60°
|
17°
63°
|
18°
64°
|
17°
62°
|
15°
59°
|
Wind direction and speed (mph) |
SW
5
9
4
2
2
|
SW
5
8
4
2
2
|
SW
5
9
4
2
2
|
WSW
7
12
6
3
2
|
WSW
9
14
8
4
3
|
SW
9
14
8
4
3
|
WSW
7
12
6
3
2
|
WSW
5
8
4
2
2
|
Wind gust (mph) |
13
20
11
6
4
|
12
20
10
6
3
|
17
27
15
8
4
|
21
34
18
9
5
|
22
36
19
10
5
|
21
34
18
9
5
|
15
24
13
7
4
|
12
20
10
6
3
|
Visibility (description) |
VG
30
|
VG
29
|
VG
24
|
VG
35
|
E
45
|
VG
35
|
VG
29
|
VG
22
|
Humidity |
88%
|
89%
|
88%
|
69%
|
60%
|
60%
|
73%
|
86%
|
UV |
-
|
-
|
1
|
3
|
4
|
2
|
-
|
-
|
Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Weather symbols |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
40%
|
20%
|
30%
|
Temperature (°C) |
14°
57°
|
13°
56°
|
13°
56°
|
16°
62°
|
19°
66°
|
20°
67°
|
18°
64°
|
16°
60°
|
Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
57°
|
13°
56°
|
13°
56°
|
16°
61°
|
18°
65°
|
18°
65°
|
17°
63°
|
15°
59°
|
Wind direction and speed (mph) |
W
4
6
3
2
2
|
W
4
6
3
2
2
|
WNW
4
6
3
2
2
|
N
7
11
6
3
2
|
NNE
9
14
8
4
3
|
SE
9
14
8
4
3
|
ESE
8
13
7
4
3
|
E
6
10
5
3
2
|
Wind gust (mph) |
11
17
10
5
3
|
11
18
10
5
3
|
16
25
14
7
4
|
20
32
17
9
5
|
21
34
18
9
5
|
20
32
17
9
5
|
16
25
14
7
4
|
14
22
12
6
4
|
Visibility (description) |
G
19
|
G
16
|
G
14
|
G
16
|
G
19
|
VG
20
|
VG
21
|
G
18
|
Humidity |
91%
|
94%
|
95%
|
90%
|
77%
|
72%
|
80%
|
89%
|
UV |
-
|
-
|
1
|
3
|
4
|
2
|
-
|
-
|
Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Weather symbols |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chance of precipitation |
20%
|
20%
|
30%
|
50%
|
40%
|
30%
|
20%
|
20%
|
Temperature (°C) |
14°
58°
|
14°
57°
|
13°
56°
|
17°
62°
|
19°
66°
|
20°
68°
|
18°
65°
|
16°
61°
|
Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
57°
|
13°
56°
|
13°
55°
|
16°
60°
|
18°
64°
|
18°
65°
|
17°
63°
|
15°
59°
|
Wind direction and speed (mph) |
ENE
6
10
5
3
2
|
NE
6
9
5
3
2
|
NE
6
9
5
3
2
|
ENE
9
14
8
4
3
|
NE
10
16
9
4
3
|
NE
10
16
9
4
3
|
NE
9
14
8
4
3
|
ENE
7
11
6
3
2
|
Wind gust (mph) |
15
23
13
7
4
|
15
23
13
7
4
|
20
32
17
9
5
|
23
37
20
10
5
|
24
38
21
11
5
|
22
35
19
10
5
|
17
28
15
8
4
|
16
25
14
7
4
|
Visibility (description) |
G
15
|
G
12
|
G
11
|
G
16
|
G
18
|
VG
21
|
VG
22
|
G
19
|
Humidity |
94%
|
95%
|
95%
|
89%
|
75%
|
70%
|
76%
|
87%
|
UV |
-
|
-
|
1
|
3
|
4
|
2
|
-
|
-
|
Time |
01:00
|
04:00
|
07:00
|
10:00
|
13:00
|
16:00
|
19:00
|
22:00
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Weather symbols |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chance of precipitation |
30%
|
30%
|
30%
|
40%
|
30%
|
20%
|
10%
|
20%
|
Temperature (°C) |
15°
59°
|
15°
58°
|
14°
58°
|
17°
63°
|
20°
68°
|
21°
70°
|
20°
67°
|
17°
63°
|
Feels like temperature (°C) |
14°
58°
|
14°
57°
|
14°
57°
|
16°
61°
|
19°
66°
|
20°
68°
|
19°
66°
|
17°
62°
|
Wind direction and speed (mph) |
NE
6
10
5
3
2
|
NE
6
10
5
3
2
|
NE
7
11
6
3
2
|
ENE
9
15
8
4
3
|
ENE
11
17
10
5
3
|
ENE
10
17
9
5
3
|
ENE
9
14
8
4
3
|
ENE
6
10
5
3
2
|
Wind gust (mph) |
15
23
13
7
4
|
16
25
14
7
4
|
21
34
18
9
5
|
24
39
21
11
5
|
25
40
22
11
6
|
23
38
20
10
5
|
17
28
15
8
4
|
15
25
13
7
4
|
Visibility (description) |
G
17
|
G
11
|
G
10
|
G
13
|
VG
20
|
VG
21
|
VG
21
|
G
18
|
Humidity |
93%
|
96%
|
97%
|
90%
|
78%
|
71%
|
77%
|
87%
|
UV |
-
|
-
|
-
|
3
|
5
|
2
|
-
|
-
|
Basingstoke weather map
View the weather with our interactive map
Turning unsettled on Sunday and Monday, with thundery rain likely.
Some mist and perhaps a few shallow fog patches at first, quickly clearing, then a fine and dry day with light winds and plenty of sunshine. Sunshine perhaps turning hazy in the afternoon. Feeling pleasantly warm. Maximum temperature 24 °C.
A dry and largely clear evening and night, with light winds but a chance of increasing amounts of high level cloud in the south. Relatively mild. Minimum temperature 12 °C.
Windy and generally clouding over with an increasing risk of showers and perhaps some thunder close to the south coast later. Warm away from coasts. Maximum temperature 23 °C.
Often cloudy on Sunday and Monday with rain and showers pushing erratically north, perhaps heavy and thundery at times. Cooler, drier on Tuesday, with sunny spells but further showers later.
Updated:
High pressure is most likely to be located either over or close to the UK through much of this period, leading to a more widely settled period of weather for most, with some cool nights, but near or slightly above average temperatures by day. That said early in the period a weak showery regime may still be clearing east. Later weak frontal systems could provide some cloud and patchy rain in north-western areas at times. There is a chance of some heavy thundery showers and more humid conditions in the south too, particularly later in the period when the high pressure may begin to drift slowly to the west. However, many areas are more likely to be drier than normal with predominately settled weather and light winds.
Updated:
Moving through then beyond mid-September confidence for the continuation of settled weather falls. Instead, it is more likely that there will be a return to a mixture of weather types, with spells of wet weather interspersed with drier periods. By this period it is expected temperatures will have returned to near average, perhaps slightly cooler than average in the north or northwest at times.
Updated: