Weather and climate change
UK video forecast
warnings
Flood warnings in force for:
| England | Environment Agency |
|---|---|
| Wales | Natural Resources Wales |
UK 5 day weather forecast
Headline:
Rain moving into the northwest tonight, drier elsewhere.
This Evening and Tonight:
A weakening band of cloud and rain will edge in from the northwest overnight. Remaining largely dry across England and Wales. Clear skies developing in the southeast, allowing a patchy frost to form.
Sunday:
Rain easing in the northwest during the morning. Largely dry across the south and east with sunny spells developing. Turning brighter across Northern Ireland and western Scotland too.
Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:
Further wind and rain in the northwest Monday, fine elsewhere. The rain spreading southeast on Tuesday, but easing through the day. Turning dry and more settled from Wednesday. Chilly nights.
Updated:
UK long range weather forecast
It is likely to be rather more settled across the UK in this period, especially at first. High pressure will sit close to, or over the UK, and will most likely drift away slowly eastwards with time. Consequently, southern and eastern areas are likely to see the driest conditions, with lightest winds, which could lead to overnight frost and fog with temperatures a little below normal. Further north and west, there is a risk of incursions of Atlantic air and fontal systems at times, which would bring some rain here, but with milder temperatures. There is a very low chance that if the high orientates in such a way that a more easterly (rather than southerly/southeasterly) flow develops, a spell of much colder conditions could develop across the UK.
Updated:
It is most likely that high pressure will dominate at first in some form or another, but there is a weak signal for a more unsettled spell in the second half of the month, before signals become indistinguishable from climatology by the start of March. Temperatures may be below average at first, with overnight frosts, but could return to near average or even rise a little above average later. Rainfall amounts, especially in the south and east are likely to be below average at first, but may return to near-normal values later in the month.
Updated:
